Fewer Atlantic hurricanes predicted this year

It will be in April when a first forecast for the next season of tropical cyclones for the Atlantic is issued, although according to experts, various atmospheric factors could diminish the number of systems this year.

In this regard, the meteorologist, Juan Vázquez Montalvo, commented that the formation of the phenomenon known as “El Niño” could be a factor for not having so many hurricanes in 2019, as it inhibits their formation.
“We have to wait for the behavior of the Atlantic. In April the first report of the University of Colorado, of the United States, on the season will be issued. It would be expected that with the El Niño phenomenon, there could be no formations, but the hurricanes have the final word,” he said.
“There is a Boy, Girl or an irregular year, with hurricanes you always have to be prepared because with only one system that affects us, it is enough to say that it was a bad season,” he said.
Vázquez Montalvo recalled that since 2002, Yucatán has been “lucky” to not be impacted by a tropical system, while the peninsula in general has not been affected since 2007.
“One day the good run will end, and we have to prepare ourselves year after year. We must not forget that the peninsula is an area of ​​hurricane passage,” he said.
According to reports from the National Meteorological Service (NWS), in the tropical cyclone season last year, there were 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes, of which 2 were intense, that is, category 3 or greater on the Saffir- Simpson Scale.
This figure was lower than that registered in 2017, in which 17 tropical storms were formed, 10 became hurricanes and 6 reached high intensity strength. In both 2017 and 2018, the annual average of 11 systems per year was exceeded.
Text: ACOM
Photo: ACOM

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